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Prospect analysisArchived

Wears Valley Luxury Cabin Retreat

Asking$1,200,000

Sevierville, TN

Sevierville · 4 bd · 6 ba · 2,688 sq ft · Built 2008

Underwritten as a short-term rental

Turnkey 4-bedroom luxury cabin in Wears Valley with strong short-term rental income projections and high-confidence valuation support.

This property offers a large, well-appointed cabin with high guest appeal and robust underwriting metrics, positioned in a proven Smoky Mountain STR market. The investment thesis is supported by high-confidence valuation and income estimates, though the premium list price requires sustained rental performance.

Est. ADR
$747
Est. occupancy
68%
Gross rev / mo
$15,450
Cash-on-cash
27.9%

Airfolio market estimates · 20% down · detail in the underwriting panel.

Investment thesis

This 4-bedroom, 6-bath luxury cabin is purpose-built for the Smoky Mountain short-term rental market, featuring high-end finishes, ample entertainment space, and strong guest amenities. The property is turnkey and rental-ready, with each bedroom offering an en suite bath, and common areas designed for group stays. Underwriting metrics indicate high expected cash flow and a strong cash-on-cash return, assuming continued demand and occupancy at modeled rates. The primary caveat is the premium pricing relative to recent comparable sales, which places greater emphasis on achieving projected rental performance. This opportunity is best suited for investors seeking a high-yield, professionally managed STR asset in a mature vacation market.

Highlights

  • 4 bedrooms, 6 bathrooms, 2,688 sqft
  • Built in 2008 with luxury finishes and open floorplan
  • Turnkey, rental-ready condition with high guest appeal
  • Each bedroom features an en suite bath with jacuzzi tub
  • Loft area with pool table and arcade games
  • Extensive covered deck space, hot tub, and outdoor fireplace
  • High-confidence valuation and income estimates
  • Recent sale history and multiple comparable sales in the area

Risks

STR permitting: verify local ordinance and zoning allow short-term rental at this address before offering. Not verified.
Premium list price above recent comparable sales may limit appreciation potential
Returns are sensitive to occupancy and nightly rate assumptions
STR regulations and local permitting should be verified
Seasonal demand swings typical of Smoky Mountain markets
Ongoing maintenance required for larger, amenity-rich cabins
Operational complexity with high guest turnover and management needs

Market

Sevierville, TN is a well-established short-term rental market, particularly for large cabins catering to vacationing groups visiting the Smoky Mountains. The property type aligns with strong regional demand for luxury, amenity-rich accommodations. High-confidence valuation and income estimates reflect the maturity of the local STR market, though premium pricing requires careful attention to ongoing rental performance and market competition.

Neighborhood

Located in Wears Valley, this property benefits from scenic mountain views and a setting that appeals to vacationing families and groups. The area is characterized by similar large cabins and is known for its guest-friendly environment, though conclusions about hyperlocal demand are based on broader market signals rather than detailed neighborhood-specific data. Overall guest appeal is high, but investors should confirm local STR regulations and neighborhood sentiment during diligence.

Underwriting notes

At a $1.2M purchase price, underwriting projects a monthly expected income of $15,450 and cash flow of $5,583, with a modeled occupancy rate of 68% and ADR of $747. The estimated cash-on-cash return is 27.9%, assuming a 20% down payment, 6.4% interest rate, and 25% expense ratio. These figures are high-confidence, but are sensitive to actual occupancy and nightly rate performance. The premium price relative to recent sales underscores the need for sustained rental demand and operational efficiency.

Value context

Airfolio est.
Modeled value
$1,131,900
Modeled range
$1,075,305–$1,188,495
Asking
$1,200,000
Asking sits roughly 1% above the modeled range.

Solid: value history · Dashed: 24-month projection with confidence band. Airfolio estimates, not appraisals.

As of Sep 17, 2026 · Modeled from record, listing, and market data. An estimate, not an appraisal.

Sales history

DateEventPrice
Apr 2023Sold$1,145,000
Dec 2017Sold$439,000
Aug 2006Sold$98,500

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Figures are Airfolio market estimates modeled from listing, record, and market data, not investment advice · Analysis Sep 17, 2026.
Airfolio is a product of Trusty Labs, Inc. · CA DRE #01527508

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Airfolio is a product of Trusty Labs, Inc., a licensed California real estate brokerage · CA DRE #01527508. Concierge introductions to agents, lenders, and property managers are referrals, and Trusty Labs may receive referral fees. Revenue and return figures are Airfolio market estimates from public records, listing data, and market modeling, not offers, appraisals, or investment advice. Verify all figures independently.
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