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Prospect analysisArchived

Smoky Mountain Dual Cabin Retreat

Asking$1,250,000

Sevierville, TN

Sevierville · 5 bd · 6 ba · 4,827 sq ft · Built 2015

Underwritten as a short-term rental

Dual-unit Smoky Mountain estate on 23+ acres with strong short-term rental income projections and high privacy appeal.

This property offers a main cabin and a detached apartment, both suitable for STR, with high-confidence underwriting metrics indicating robust cash flow and a 22.8% expected cash-on-cash return. The large acreage and private setting enhance guest appeal, though the investment thesis depends on continued STR demand and operational execution.

Est. ADR
$778
Est. occupancy
62%
Gross rev / mo
$14,672
Cash-on-cash
22.8%

Airfolio market estimates · 20% down · detail in the underwriting panel.

Investment thesis

This estate presents a compelling opportunity for investors seeking a premium, multi-unit STR asset in the Sevierville market. The combination of a spacious main cabin and a separate apartment over a three-bay garage allows for flexible rental strategies, targeting both large groups and smaller parties. High-confidence underwriting metrics suggest strong income and cash flow potential, supported by professional rental estimates and a competitive purchase price relative to recent comparable sales. The primary caveat is the need to confirm ongoing STR regulatory stability and to ensure the property’s condition aligns with guest expectations for this price tier.

Highlights

  • 5 bedrooms, 6 bathrooms across 4,827 sqft
  • Main cabin plus detached 2-bedroom, 2.5-bath apartment
  • Over 23 acres of unrestricted, gated land
  • Built in 2015 with modern layout and features
  • Estimated STR ADR of $778 and expected occupancy of 62%
  • Monthly expected cash flow of $4,749 and 22.8% cash-on-cash return (high confidence)
  • Private, scenic Smoky Mountain setting
  • Recent comparable sales support price positioning

Risks

STR permitting: verify local ordinance and zoning allow short-term rental at this address before offering. Not verified.
STR regulations and permitting should be verified for both units
Returns are sensitive to occupancy and ADR assumptions
Operational complexity managing two units on a large estate
Higher-end inventory may face a smaller buyer pool on resale
Property condition and maintenance needs should be confirmed during diligence
Seasonal demand swings typical for Smoky Mountain STRs

Market

Sevierville, TN is a well-established short-term rental market, benefiting from proximity to the Smoky Mountains and strong regional tourism. This property’s dual-unit configuration and large acreage position it as a premium offering, with high-confidence income projections and a purchase price supported by recent comparable sales. The market remains competitive, and continued demand for large-group accommodations is a key assumption.

Neighborhood

The property’s private, gated setting on over 23 acres offers a unique guest experience, likely appealing to families and groups seeking seclusion and scenic views. While detailed neighborhood-level demand signals are limited, the Smoky Mountain context and estate-scale privacy are strong differentiators. Conclusions about guest appeal are high-confidence based on property features and regional STR trends.

Underwriting notes

At a $1,250,000 purchase price, underwriting metrics indicate an estimated STR ADR of $778, 62% occupancy, and monthly expected income of $14,672. With a 25% expense ratio and 20% down payment, the property is projected to generate $4,749 in monthly cash flow and a 22.8% cash-on-cash return, assuming professional management and stable demand. These figures are high-confidence, but returns are sensitive to occupancy and nightly rate assumptions, and operational diligence is recommended to validate expense and maintenance projections.

Value context

Airfolio est.
Modeled value
$1,250,000
Modeled range
$1,193,750–$1,306,250
Asking
$1,250,000
Asking sits within the modeled range.

Solid: value history · Dashed: 24-month projection with confidence band. Airfolio estimates, not appraisals.

As of Sep 17, 2026 · Modeled from record, listing, and market data. An estimate, not an appraisal.

Sales history

DateEventPrice
Nov 2014Sold$415,000
Aug 2003Sold$40,933

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Figures are Airfolio market estimates modeled from listing, record, and market data, not investment advice · Analysis Sep 17, 2026.
Airfolio is a product of Trusty Labs, Inc. · CA DRE #01527508

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Airfolio is a product of Trusty Labs, Inc., a licensed California real estate brokerage · CA DRE #01527508. Concierge introductions to agents, lenders, and property managers are referrals, and Trusty Labs may receive referral fees. Revenue and return figures are Airfolio market estimates from public records, listing data, and market modeling, not offers, appraisals, or investment advice. Verify all figures independently.
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