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Prospect analysisArchived

61112 Ferguson Rd

Asking$1,449,000

Bend, OR · 5 bd · 6 ba · 3,711 sq ft · Built 2022

Underwritten as a short-term rental

Fully licensed 5-bedroom STR property with income suite and development potential in Bend, OR.

This newer, single-level home offers a rare in-town acreage, a current STR license, and a proven income stream from an attached suite. High-confidence underwriting metrics indicate strong cash flow potential, though future development and full-home STR performance should be further evaluated.

Est. ADR
$902
Est. occupancy
58%
Gross rev / mo
$15,913
Cash-on-cash
17.0%

Airfolio market estimates · 25% down · detail in the underwriting panel.

Investment thesis

This property stands out for its combination of a fully transferable STR license, a flexible 5-bedroom layout, and a large lot with city-verified potential for up to five additional dwellings. The attached suite is already generating meaningful STR income, providing a proven revenue baseline. The high-confidence underwriting suggests robust cash flow and a strong cash-on-cash return, making it attractive for investors seeking both immediate income and long-term upside through development or expanded STR operations. The primary caveat is that only the suite is currently operated as an STR, so full-home rental performance should be confirmed during diligence.

Highlights

  • 5 bedrooms, 6 bathrooms, 3,711 sq ft single-level home
  • Built in 2022 with modern construction
  • Fully licensed for short-term rental (Type 2 license)
  • Attached suite currently generates ~$22,000/year STR income
  • Large 1.6-acre lot with city-verified potential for 5 additional dwellings
  • 3-car garage and flexible layout
  • Swim spa included
  • High-confidence underwriting: $5,137/mo expected cash flow, 17% cash-on-cash return

Risks

STR permitting: verify local ordinance and zoning allow short-term rental at this address before offering. Not verified.
STR regulations and license transfer process should be verified during diligence
Returns are sensitive to occupancy and ADR assumptions, especially for full-home STR use
Development potential depends on city approvals and capital outlay
Higher price point may limit buyer pool and increase holding risk
Operational complexity with multi-unit STR management

Market

Bend, OR is a sought-after market for both tourism and relocation, with strong demand for high-quality STRs and limited in-town acreage. The property type—a modern, large single-level home with STR licensing—positions it well for both short-term rental and future development strategies. High-confidence underwriting metrics support the income potential, though market competition and regulatory environment should be monitored.

Neighborhood

The property’s in-town acreage and modern construction are likely to appeal to STR guests seeking privacy and space within city limits. The flexible layout and multiple en-suite bedrooms enhance guest appeal for larger groups or multi-generational stays. While detailed neighborhood demand signals are limited, the location within Bend suggests solid guest interest, though conclusions are moderate-confidence pending further location-specific analysis.

Underwriting notes

At a $1,449,000 purchase price, underwriting projects a monthly expected income of $15,913 and cash flow of $5,137, with a 17% cash-on-cash return based on a 25% down payment, 6.4% interest, and 25% expense ratio. These high-confidence figures are driven by an estimated $902 ADR and 58% occupancy, but actual performance will depend on scaling STR operations beyond the current suite. The property’s income and return profile are attractive, but sensitivity to occupancy and nightly rate assumptions should be considered, especially if expanding STR use to the full home.

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Figures are Airfolio market estimates modeled from listing, record, and market data, not investment advice · Analysis Jul 26, 2026.
Airfolio is a product of Trusty Labs, Inc. · CA DRE #01527508

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Airfolio is a product of Trusty Labs, Inc., a licensed California real estate brokerage · CA DRE #01527508. Concierge introductions to agents, lenders, and property managers are referrals, and Trusty Labs may receive referral fees. Revenue and return figures are Airfolio market estimates from public records, listing data, and market modeling, not offers, appraisals, or investment advice. Verify all figures independently.
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